Ryan Tungseth

The hardest part of grain marketing isn't predicting the weather. It's knowing what you'll do before the market moves. For most of the past two years, grain producers have been conditioned to expect the same outcome. Small rallies faded. Weather scares have been non-existent. Every bounce seemed like another opportunity that disappeared just as quickly as it arrived. Eventually, many producers stopped believing rallies would last at all. This week felt different. Not simply because corn and...

A Holiday Pause Before the Weather Market Takes Over The calendar says it's the Fourth of July, but the grain markets aren't taking much of a vacation. After finally stringing together a few higher sessions, producers are asking the same question: Is this bounce enough to reward sales, or is it worth waiting for weather to create another opportunity? The reality is that weather now takes center stage. Forecasts have already shifted multiple times—from hot and dry, to cooler and wetter, and...

Why this year's biggest USDA report may have changed the momentum for the rest of the growing season. For weeks, grain markets have been trading as though every headline would be another reason to sell. That made Monday's USDA report one of the most important days of the summer. Not because anyone expected bullish numbers. In fact, most people were simply hoping the report wouldn't make things worse. That's exactly what happened. The June 30 acreage and quarterly stocks report is notorious...